FOR A CANDIDATE WHO FAMOUSLY championed “change,” President-elect Barack Obama seems to have
a soft-spot for continuity. Such, at least, is the inference to be drawn from
his newly announced war cabinet,
which includes such consummate Washington insiders as former adversary and
would-be secretary of state Hillary Clinton; Bush administration defense secretary
Robert Gates, who will retain his post; retired four-star general and soon-to-be
national security adviser James Jones; and Arizona Gov. Janet Napolitano,
Obama’s nominee as secretary of the Department of Homeland Security.
The political symbolism of this cast is hard to miss. What
all of Obama’s nominees share – apart from their Washington pedigree – is a political
orientation that is, if not exactly conservative, nevertheless pointedly at
odds with the Democratic base on critical national security issues. To the
partisans of the antiwar Left who thought Obama would usher in a sharp break
with the Bush years, the incoming administration’s message rings loud and
clear: On foreign policy, the Obama administration will take no Left turns.
Nothing underscores the point quite like Obama’s selection
of the woman who drove war critics into fits. A brief internet search will show
that Democratic activists spent much of the past few years deriding Clinton for her original sin
of supporting the Iraq War. As the antiwar protestors of Code Pink relentlessly
hounded the former first lady, demanding that she apologize for the war, left-wing
journals fired outraged editorials at “Hillary
the Hawk.” This animadversion was never fully justified by Clinton’s record. Although she never gave her
critics on the Left the satisfaction of an apology, she did renounce her
support for the war, offering that “If I knew then what I now
know, I would not have voted that way.” Seeking a bright spot in her State Department
appointment, some on the Left have come around to the belated
recognition that Clinton’s views
on Iraq were closer to Obama’s antiwar stance than they had allowed in the heat
of the campaign.
Yet there is a
hint of desperation in these emerging epiphanies. If politics is in some
measure a business of perception, then the implications of inviting the antiwar
Left’s pantsuited nemesis into Obama’s inner circle are unmistakable.
As Kelly
Dougherty, the executive director of the 54-chapter Iraq Veterans Against the
War, complained
recently, “Obama ran his campaign around the idea
the war was not legitimate, but it sends a very different message when you
bring in people who supported the war from the beginning.”
One
discerns a similar message in Obama’s decision to retain Robert Gates as defense
secretary. It’s not just that Gates is a veteran of the hated Bush administration;
he is also a prominent opponent of the immediate withdrawal from Iraq that many
of Obama’s supporters believed would be his first act in power. Against Obama’s
campaign pledge to remove troops within sixteen months, Gates has argued that
any pullout must be conditional on the counsel of military commanders in Iraq. Gates has
also cautioned against a too-hasty closure of Guantanamo Bay, warning that
concrete steps must be taken to make sure that any released detainees are not
allowed into the United States.
It’s possible, of course, that Obama will ignore Gates’s
advice on Iraq and Guantanamo. Even so, the
idea that the Pentagon will be in the hands of a Republican openly critical of
some of the president-elect’s foreign policy commitments has not been
reassuring to antiwar Progressives. “Something’s terribly wrong with this picture,” groaned The Progressive last week, after revelations that Gates would be staying on. Keeping
Gates, the magazine lamented, was a sign that “Obama doesn’t really want a change in foreign and
military policy.”
If the presence of Clinton and Gates in Obama’s cabinet has
been hard for some antiwar Progressives to bear, the possibility that Obama’s
national security advisor will be General James Jones – retired Marine Corps
commandant, friend and advisor to John McCain, and unabashed advocate of
global American leadership – has added insult to injury. Unsurprisingly, left-wing blogs have found it
hard to contain their despair. Pointing to the inclusion of Clinton, Gates, and Jim Jones, the popular
liberal blog Open Left angrily
conceded that Obama had assembled “a center-right foreign policy team lacking
any clear progressives.” Added blogger Chris Bowers: “I
know everyone is obsessed with the ‘team of rivals’ idea right now, but I feel
incredibly frustrated.” Left-wing journalist Jeremy Scahill, writing in the Guardian this week, echoed
the lament. “There is not a single,
solid anti-war voice in the upper echelons of the Obama foreign policy
apparatus,” Scahill noted. “And this is the point: Obama is not going to
fundamentally change US
foreign policy. He is a status quo Democrat.”
This may be
overstating the case. Recent hiring decisions notwithstanding, Obama still
pledges to remove troops from Iraq
on a 16-month time – regardless of security conditions on the ground. He
remains committed, too, to his promise to close Guantanamo Bay.
That has prompted some liberals to suggest,
a touch hopefully, that “Obama intends to
pursue a genuinely progressive foreign policy” and is simply “surrounding
himself with people who can guard his right flank at home.”
All the accumulating evidence,
however, points in a different direction. With the exceptions of Iraq and Guantanamo,
each of Obama’s foreign policy shifts have been toward the center. Under
pressure from Hillary Clinton, he abandoned his much-mocked pledge to meet with
Iranian leaders “without preconditions,” replacing it with a call for cautious
low-level talks that owed more to realpolitik
that the Department of Peace. In June, he angered his internet boosters by supporting the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA), the
government surveillance bill he had once promised to filibuster. In the final
weeks of the presidential campaign, Obama achieved the unlikely feat of sounding
more hawkish than his Republican rival, as he promised to hunt down al-Qaeda
terrorists in Pakistan’s
untamed hinterlands with or without that government’s approval. He has
repeatedly promised to increase the size of the military. And now he has
staffed his administration with figures whose foreign-policy views are famously
more hawkish than his.
Little wonder that Obama’s leftist
supporters are apoplectic. Personnel appointments are never a faultless guide
to policy, but Obama’s war cabinet does suggest that his administration will be
inclusive. It just won’t include the antiwar activists who once hailed the
senator as their savior.