Earlier this week the
White House announced that the projected Fiscal Year 2009 deficit will
be $490 billion, an amount much higher than originally anticipated and
also a record for the national deficit. The deficit for the current
fiscal year is expected to reach $410 billion. Among the factors
contributing to the high numbers are the cost of military expenditures
in Iraq and Afghanistan, an economic downturn which is producing fewer
tax revenues, the $170 billion tax-rebate package enacted earlier this
year, and an inability in the Congress to eliminate or trim federal
programs, costs and earmarks.
As
usual, politicians and many of the major media outlets explicitly or
implicitly have blamed President George W. Bush’s tax cuts for much of
the problem. According to The Washington Post,
“Neither [Senator John S.] McCain nor [Senator Barack H.] Obama have
been particularly mindful of the budget deficit. McCain has proposed to
extend all of Bush's first-term tax cuts, which expire in 2011, and add
hundreds of billions of additional tax cuts, mostly for business. Obama
would allow only the tax cuts for the most affluent [families making
$250,000 or more] to expire, leaving the lion's share in place and
adding additional tax cuts for the working poor and middle class….”
CNN stated, “The
Bush administration has spent heavily on the wars in Iraq and
Afghanistan, and faces a large budget shortfall in tax revenue because
of Bush's tax cuts and a souring economy.” Senator Kent Conrad, D-ND, criticized the Bush Administration for its “reckless fiscal policies,”
and blamed Bush’s tax cuts for driving the federal government into
deficit, saying he will be remembered as “the most fiscally
irresponsible president in our nation's history.”
While
the last statement surely is an exaggeration, Bush has been a
tremendous disappointment on fiscal issues. His reluctance to veto a
spending bill for most of his presidency has allowed government
spending to become irresponsible and to grow out of control. He
inherited a budget surplus of $128 billion when he entered office but
immediately squandered it – with the help of a Republican Congress, I
might add.
The problem is not his
tax cuts, though. Bush’s tax cuts stimulated tremendous economic
growth. History and most economists inform us that a reduction in the
tax burden almost always stimulates growth. After 1998, when Ireland
reduced its corporate tax rate to 12.5 percent, its economy grew so quickly it
became known as the “Celtic Tiger.” Unemployment fell from 18 percent to 5.5 percent
and Gross National Product increased 62 percent in real terms. Meanwhile, the
corporate tax rate in the United States hovers at 35 percent, one of the
highest in the world among industrial countries. Middle-class American
families still are suffering under the egregious Alternative Minimum
Tax. And Americans face the prospect of a tax increase in 2011 when
the Bush tax cuts expire unless Congress passes them again.
The American economy
would benefit significantly from lower taxes. Yet disingenuous and
influential members of the media and of Congress insist that the
current malaise in the Federal Government’s budget is due to tax cuts.
This is absolutely incorrect. The problem is that our elected
officials lack the fortitude and wisdom to make the necessary cuts in
spending that budget realities demand. To The Post’s
credit, it noted that Senator Obama would like to spend hundreds of
billions more on health care, energy and education. Senator McCain has
not made the issue of government spending a priority in his campaign.
It should be clear that
an enormously expensive national healthcare program, the pet project of
many on the Left, is fiscally impossible unless
Congress raises taxes even higher, which is not implausible. True,
President Bush has failed fiscally. What we need to think of now is
the future. Congress must make some difficult decisions and cut the
Federal Government’s expenditures. Also, both presidential candidates
should make the issue a top priority.
If the deficit continues
to grow, the federal government borrows more money to pay for its
bureaucracy, subsidies and social programs, and taxes are raised to
meet the fiscal demands of new spending programs, the downturn in the
American economy could be prolonged and be much worse than it currently
is.