IF “SUPER TUESDAY
II” DID NOT DECIDE BOTH PARTIES’ NOMINEES, at least it highlighted the most
salient difference between the three contenders in the 2008 race: John McCain,
Hillary Clinton, and Barack Obama were all surrounded by Communists during
their formative years, and only John McCain fought back.
Although the
media will continue to analyze the minutiae of votes and exit polls today,
those results were either perfunctory (a much-needed stage hook for Mike Huckabee)
or inconclusive (a Hillary-Obama dead-heat in the delegate count). However, the
tenor of the campaign – and last night’s three acceptance speeches – forecast
the kind of general campaign we may expect. And those concerned with national
security and a precipitous withdrawal from Iraq have reason for (dare I repeat
the word?) hope.
Hillary finally
won three of four primaries last night, after losing 12 straight primaries (and
acknowledging none of them; Obama graciously congratulated her in his
speech). She won the two big prizes, Texas and Ohio, by simultaneously
running to Obama’s right and left.
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The Political is Personal
Both in the
campaign and in her acceptance speech last night, Hillary scored points on
national security. Her most (read: only) effective TV spot to date revolves
around this issue: the “3
a.m.” commercial. She echoed the ad in last night’s campaign oration:
Protecting America is the first and most
urgent duty of the president. When there’s a crisis and that phone rings at
3:00 a.m. in the White House, there’s no time for speeches or on-the-job
training. You have to be ready to make a decision.
By arresting the
process of Obama’s media canonization, if only temporarily, Hillary rendered an
invaluable service; she reasserted the most important issue in any presidential
race, namely keeping its voters alive until the next election. Polling
demonstrated Texas Democrats appreciated her mildly
more responsible policy on the war.
She also won
through her continual appeal to less educated, lower-income (and primarily
white) voters, promising “free” health care for all and advocacy for “every
single hard-working American who deserves a shot at the American dream.” In
economically ravaged Ohio, she promised to renegotiate NAFTA, the treaty her
husband signed over Democratic objection. Again, she handed Barack Obama a
policy sword, and again he fell on it, as the Canadian government produced a
memo from his campaign adviser telling Ottawa to ignore Obama’s anti-trade
rhetoric as so much pandering to the rubes. Ohio voters did not care for such
classification and showed it handily, handing Hillary 55
percent of those votes decided in the last 72 hours. Indeed,
she won as much as 80 percent
of the vote in the state’s devastated (and overwhelmingly Caucasian) south and
southeast with her soothing populism. Significantly, many of her strongholds
abut neighboring Pennsylvania, the next major primary battleground.
National Defense: Not a Strength in November…
However, raising
the national defense is a two-edged sword that could hurt Hillary in the
primaries and the eventual nominee in the general election. Senator Clinton
made her most important foreign policy decision in supporting the Iraq war, and
as far as the DailyKos Democratic “base voter” is concerned, she made the wrong
one. Obama quickly turned
Hillary’s ad against on her. However, what he took away from her on policy he
seemed determined to restore to her on personality, melting
down after an eight-question press conference on election’s eve. To cover
herself on policy, Hillary warbled last night: “We’re ready to end the war in
Iraq and win the war in Afghanistan.” But Obama remains better suited to win
the issue with the base.
Yet the biggest
beneficiary of Hillary’s “3 a.m.” ad is – John McCain. Of the three candidates,
Americans believe he is best suited to be commander-in-chief by a lopsided
margin. Hillary argued that when the tough times come, “You have to be ready to
make a decision.” You do, and Hillary isn’t. When the phone
rang early in the Clinton White House, it was usually Monica Lewinsky
reading from Vox.
Hillary boasts of “35 year record
of delivering real change,” but like the Pony Express, deliveries have not
been dependable. She had no input on her husband’s foreign policy – and when
she did, it was to counsel him to retreat-in-shame from Somalia earlier than he
did. In truth, neither Obama
nor Hillary
can name an accomplishment that qualifies them for the office they seek.
We Have a Winner
John McCain’s speech,
delivered alongside a banner that read “1191,” pointed out how he
will attempt to box-in his opponent in the general election – and it makes a
compelling campaign.
He first sought
to unite his party in opposition to the leftist candidates and around his own
patriotic program. He began by asserting that “given the alternatives presented
by our friends in the other party, [his election is] in the best interests of
the country we love.” Foremost, he would cut off the six-year-long argument
about whether we should have toppled Saddam Hussein. “The next president doesn’t
get to remake that decision,” he noted. “We’re in Iraq,” a powder keg that “could quickly descend into genocide, destabilizing
the entire Middle East…and emboldening terrorists to attack us elsewhere with
weapons we dare not allow them to possess.” Rather than gauge the speed with
which the Reserves can be sent packing, McCain will leave Baghdad “with our
country's interests secure and our honor intact.”
He, alone of the
three remaining candidates, mentioned the primary fact of American foreign
policy: that we still have a violent and determined enemy, one he dared to call
by name. McCain vowed “to restructure our military, our intelligence, our
diplomacy, and all relevant branches of government to combat Islamic extremism”
and “encourage the vast majority of moderates to win the battle for the soul of
Islam.”
McCain also took
aim at both his potential rivals. “I have never believed I was destined be
president,” a barbed reference to Hillary – who once told
Katie Couric she had not considered the possibility that she would not be her
party’s nominee. McCain said he was running to serve his beloved country, not to
serve up “false promises, empty sound bites, or useless arguments from the past.”
He expertly melded that into a defense of free enterprise and free trade that
would withstand the economic demagoguery Obama acknowledged and Clinton
concealed. In his funniest moment of the night, he quipped, “I will leave it to
my opponent to claim that they can keep companies and jobs from going overseas
by making it harder for them to do business here at home.”
From this, he
truly pivoted into territory Reaganesque in its scope, essence, and inspiration:
We're not a country that prefers
nostalgia to optimism; a country that would rather go back than forward. We're
the world’s leader, and leaders don’t pine for the past and dread the future.
We make the future better than the past. We don’t hide from history. We make
history. That, my friends, is the essence of hope in America.
He concluded
with a feisty call-to-arms: “Stand up with me, my friends, stand up and fight
for America – for her strength, her ideals, and her future. The contest begins
tonight.”
It was a rousing
moment – and the Texas hall responded heartily. This soaring rhetoric and
palpable love of country, set against his personal history as a war hero,
rivaled any of Obama’s declamations for eloquence and transcended them all combined
on substance. It is a winning message, not just in the primaries, but in
November.
Obama, Hillary, and the Hate America Left
As if sensing
this, Obama sought to position himself as more than a left-wing motivational
speaker, the charge leveled by Clinton for months. Last night, Obama clarified
his vagaries with platitudes, illuminated by bromides and anecdotes. He succeeded only in that he certainly failed to motivate.
On foreign
policy, Barack said
he will be “a commander-in-chief who has the judgment to know when to send them
into battle and which battlefield to fight on,” playing directly into McCain’s
charge that his party is afflicted with perpetual esprit d'escalier without any countervailing foresight about how to
avoid more 9/11s.
Obama also stood
before the San Antonio crowd, lapel unadorned by an American flag, and promised
not to use “patriotism as a bludgeon.” Undoubtedly, this was for the same
reason the holdouts at the Alamo did not use canon fire on Santa Ana’s forces:
they recognized the limits of their collective reserves.
Instead, he
posited the ways he would care for a hypothetical American child. He assured, “if
that child should ever get the chance to travel the world and someone should
ask her where is she from, we believe that she should always be able to hold
her head high with pride in her voice when she answers, ‘I am an American.’”
This was an exceedingly
odd elocution for a man dodging accusations that his wife has not been “proud” of her country “in
my adult lifetime.” And this is precisely the dividing line between Barack,
Hillary, and McCain: he fairly exudes a patriotism (his critics would say a
hyper-patriotism). The Left blames America first, and it
was ever thus. Obama has surrounded himself with unrepentant domestic
terrorist Bill Ayers, a pastor who visited
Muammar Quaddafi alongside Louis Farrakhan, a wife who is not proud of her
country, and a slumlord undergoing trial. The young Hillary sat at the feet of “Tommy the Commie” Emerson and imbibed the rich wisdom of Saul Alinsky while observing on behalf of the Black Panthers.
John McCain also
surrounded himself with Communists – and took home different lessons from the
encounter. At the heart of all the policy disagreements, this is the deepest
division between the three candidates vying to become president in 2008.